Employment Projections

Labor market projections are available for industry employment, occupational employment and labor force size. Projected annual job openings by occupation include employment growth, net replacement needs, training levels and wage information.

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• Long-Term Projections
  • Ohio Job Outlook includes industry and occupational projections for Ohio, as well as for Metropolitan Statistical Areas and Economic Development Regions.
    • Buckeye Top Fifty, in pdf, lists high-wage occupations in Ohio that are in demand by employers and are projected to stay in demand.
    • 2016 Career Opportunities: Occupational Trends, identifies occupations with more favorable job prospect and is available in two versions, both in pdf.
      • Occupational Trends, Easy-Print Version, is formatted for printing on 8 1/2" x 14" paper.
      • Occupation Trends, a Pamphlet, is formatted for printing on 8 1/2" x 17" paper and requires folding. For printed copies of the pamphlet, contact Sandy Newman at (614) 644-0632 or Sandy.Newman@jfs.ohio.gov.
  • Top Job Fact Sheets to 2016, in pdf, lists top jobs in the Education, Wholesale & Retail Trade, Construction, Manufacturing, Health Care, and Transportation & Warehousing Industries, plus the top occupations in Computer & Technology; and Office & Administrative Support.
• Short-Term Projections
  • 2008 to 2010 Employment Forecast, in pdf.
• Graying Reports
  • Ohio's Graying Labor Force: Aging through 2016, in pdf, reviews expected demographic changes by age and gender of the population and labor force. Published in 2008.
  • The Graying of the Ohio Labor Force: Demographic Changes to 2012, in pdf, examines expected demographic changes by age, gender and race of the population and labor force. Published in 2004.
• Occupational Profiles with wages and skills. Includes occupational codes, titles and definitions.
  • An Alphabetical List of Standard Occupation Classification (SOC) codes is available in pdf.
  • For more information on Standard Occupational Classification, visit the Bureau of Labor Statistics' SOC Page, U.S. Department of Labor.
• Occupations by Education and Wages allows you to view occupations for education, training and wage levels you specify.
• About Employment Projections... provides technical information on projection data.

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About Employment Projections...

Publications present projections of industry and occupational employment, projected annual job openings, average wages, and education or training level for each occupation. The statewide data for Ohio also includes labor force size by age and gender. Projections are available for Ohio, twelve Economic Development Regions and eight large metropolitan areas . For more information about Ohio Employment Projections, contact Sandy Newman, Projections Coordinator, at Sandy.Newman@jfs.ohio.gov or (614) 644-0632.

Note: Projections of occupational growth for all state and the national as a whole are available at State Occupational Projections.

Data Source

Projections are developed from a variety of data sources, including:

• U.S. Department of Labor's Current Population Survey for labor force data.
• Current Employment Statistics (CES or ES790), a federal-state program that gathers data on employment and earnings in goods-producing and service-producing industries in Ohio and selected metropolitan areas.
• Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW or ES-202), a federal- state program that summarizes employment, wage and contribution data from employers subject to state unemployment laws, as well as workers covered by unemployment compensation for federal employees.
• The Occupational Employment Statistics (OES), a federal-state program that provides occupational employment and wage data for wage and salary workers in nonfarm establishments. All industries are surveyed except private households, agricultural production, forestry, fishing, the military, self-employed and unpaid family workers.
• National projections developed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Level of Detail

• Industry projections use the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).
• Occupational projections use categories defined in the Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) survey and use Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) codes.

Frequency

Updated biennially.

Uses

Labor Market Projections are used primarily for planning education & training programs and for career counseling.

Limitations

As with all forecasts and projections, Labor Market Projections are subject to error, especially if events negate underlying assumptions. Generally, relative error increases with smaller industries, occupations and areas.

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