Employment Projections
Publications
The Ohio Job Outlook includes industry and occupational employment projections for Ohio, the six regions of the JobsOhio Network (map), and eight Metropolitan Statistical Areas (map).
| Ohio to 2030 | JobsOhio Regions to 2030 | MSAs to 2030 |
|---|---|---|
| Ohio Job Outlook 2020-2030 | Southwest Ohio PDF, EXCEL | Akron PDF, EXCEL |
| Industry Tables | Northeast Ohio PDF, EXCEL | Canton-Massillon PDF, EXCEL |
| Occupational Tables | Central Ohio PDF, EXCEL | Cincinnati PDF, EXCEL *Identical to Southwest Ohio JobsOhio Region |
| All Ohio Tables | West Ohio PDF, EXCEL | Cleveland-Elyria PDF, EXCEL |
| Education and Training | Southeast Ohio PDF, EXCEL | Columbus PDF, EXCEL |
| Northwest Ohio PDF, EXCEL | Dayton PDF, EXCEL | |
| Toledo PDF, EXCEL | ||
| Youngstown-Warren-Boardman PDF, EXCEL |
Ohio Leading Economic Indicators
The Ohio Leading Indicators report uses an annualized growth rate to forecast employment growth for Ohio and its eight largest MSAs for the next six months. The model examines seasonally adjusted total nonfarm employment. These data are seasonally adjusted by the leading indicators model and should not be compared to other seasonally adjusted data.
Tools & Resources
Industry Employment Projections
Occupational Employment Projections
Users can obtain industry and occupational employment projections for Ohio, the eight largest MSAs and the six JobsOhio regions.
Occupational Employment Projections
Explore Ohio's Employment Projections through 2030, including projected jobs, annual openings, education requirements, and median wages. Data can be viewed for Ohio and select substate areas.
Details & Definitions
Labor Market Projections are used primarily for planning education & training programs and for career counseling.
Projections are developed from a variety of data sources, including:
- U.S. Department of Labor's Current Population Survey for labor force data.
- Current Employment Statistics (CES), a federal-state program that gathers data on employment and earnings in goods-producing and service-producing industries in Ohio and selected metropolitan areas.
- Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW), a federal- state program that summarizes employment, wage and contribution data from employers subject to state unemployment laws, as well as workers covered by unemployment compensation for federal employees.
- The Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS), a federal-state program that provides occupational employment and wage data for wage and salary workers in nonfarm establishments. All industries are surveyed except private households, agricultural production, forestry, fishing, the military, self-employed and unpaid family workers.
- National projections developed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Note: Projections of occupational growth for all states and the nation as a whole are available at Projections Central.
- Industry projections use the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).
- Occupational projections use categories defined in the Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) survey and use Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) codes.
Produce annual short-term (two-year) industry and occupational employment projections at the statewide level and long-term (10-year) industry and occupational employment projections for the state, the eight largest MSAs, and JobsOhio regions.
The frequency varies with each product:
- Short-Term Projections, annually
- Long-Term Projections, biennially
- Occupational Trends Pamphlet, biennially
- Leading Indicators, monthly.
Projections are available for Ohio, the six regions of the JobsOhio Network, and eight large metropolitan areas.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) employment projections are a projection and not a forecast. Projections use a set of assumptions to determine long-term underlying trends, whereas forecasts focus on predicting actual outcomes in the near term. The assumptions that guide BLS projections are designed to provide a neutral backdrop so that a focused analysis of the long-term trends can take place. For example, BLS does not forecast business cycle activity but rather is concerned with the long-term growth path of the aggregate economy. Because the purpose of a forecast is prediction, the forecast user will be interested in the actual forecast values. A projection, however, supplies the user with a plausible scenario to help understand the ramifications of the long-term trends.
As with all forecasts and projections, labor market projections are subject to error, especially if events negate underlying assumptions. Generally, relative error increases with smaller industries, occupations and areas.
